glancaster
In the silicon vale
According to the Poll of Polls the Tories lead has been cut quite considerably. Down to about 12 I think. I do not think any Party is going to have a working Majority. There is going to be a lot of horse trading after the 12th IMHO.
The last two polls have seen the Tories' lead cut down into single figures: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2019_United_Kingdom_general_election#2019
I entered the data from the most recent currently, which is the Panelbase 27-28 Nov poll, into the seat predictor at electionpolling.co.uk, and it still comes out with a Tory majority (339 seats vs Labour's 228). However, the narrowing trend is important. With two successive polls showing it (and the three before that being at worst 11% gaps), it isn't just an outlier. It seems real.
With less than two weeks to go before the election, it is time to start paying more attention to the polls. Maybe there is hope.
Kind regards
- Garry