He says that surveys show that 60% of people believe themselves to be better off now than they were 4 years ago.
I'm not a US contributor (sorry tones), but...
As much as I want Trump to lose, I have a feeling he's got a much better chance of winning than the polls currently indicate. The reason I think this is because his base is extremely driven and committed to him winning on 3rd November, and will drive up his vote accordingly. Biden, on the other hand, is decent enough but the biggest thing he's got going for him, IMHO, is that he is *not Trump*. Whether that's enough to get him into the White House is anybody's guess. Also, I think there is some substance to what tones' US associate colleague said:
As much as there might be outrage across the rest of the world at Trump, his appalling presidency and where he has taken the US in the 4 years he's been in office, we should remind ourselves that Americans see their country very differently from the rest of us.
I am dreading it but I would not be at all surprised if Trump sneaks a win on November 3rd.
I suspect the Hunter Biden email story was supposed to be Trumps big "October Surprise" but it fizzled out on him when none of the media bit.
Democratic voters are EXTREMELY motivated, not by Biden, but by the horrifying thought of four more years of Trump. The huge lines for early voting are not just a sign of GOP voter suppression, they're also an indicator that democratic voters are voting in record numbers.
I am very worried by the non-zero probability of a Trump win, but I think he is much less likely to win this time than in 2016, when there was true apathy among democratic voters, and a general belief that Trump could never win, and would probably pivot to the center if he did.
I suspect it might be closer than the polls suggest but unless Trump turns around Florida and Pennsylvania then he's toast?
There's no way Rudi can survive this.