I've done some LCA calcs as part of my job - even helped write papers on it. The answer is "...it depends"- sometime BEVs win (e.g. smaller battery compacts in France, where the grid carbon intensity is consistently low) and other times the break even is surprisingly long. With the potential advent of HVO100 paraffinic diesel that will become available at increasing scale as we go through this decade, then, for real-world single-car households doing average mileage/year, a future diesel EU7 running on that fuel will be hard to beat on an LCA basis. Not a politically correct answer though.