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Ukraine III

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Not sure how to take the above. I just know that I don’t like her much.

Yeah I think she is part of the US neo-con group. I read somewhere due to her family background she speaks Russian.
Oooh, yes, highly suspicious that the State Dept would use someone that actually speaks one of the local languages. /s

(Although, come to think of it, how many Russian-speaking neo-cons can you actually name, spontaneously?)
 
Oooh, yes, highly suspicious that the State Dept would use someone that actually speaks one of the local languages. /s

(Although, come to think of it, how many Russian-speaking neo-cons can you actually name, spontaneously?)
One
 
Seems totally bizarre to me: if Putin is so concerned about eastward NATO expansion, then why does he want Ukraine? If he takes Ukraine then he will have two NATO countries right on his border: Poland and Slovakia (not including the Kaliningrad enclave). His logic seems to be: I'm concerned about NATO expansion, so I'll expand my territory right up to the NATO borders...
He’s an ageing autocrat who’s become increasingly withdrawn and changed the constitution to effectively make himself El Presidente for life. He controls everything in Russia, particularly its wealth and the ability of opposition politicians to pose any real challenge. People in Russia get killed for opposing him, now thousands in Ukraine suffer the same fate. It’s a very bad picture and one seen repeatedly in history. He’s doing what Milošević did but with a far greater capacity to wage war.

His rhetoric is self contradictory- on one hand it’s the fear of NATO then it’s the re-establishment of Imperial Russia but now to the boundaries of the old USSR. He’s not afraid to use force, to destroy countries that defy him and he’s threatened implicitly to use nuclear weapons if anyone gets in his way.

I’m afraid hand wringing in the West about “maybe we should have listened to his concerns more” is futile. He’s taking a wrecking ball to Ukraine and like his use of chemical and radiological weapons on British soil, he’s saying “what are you going to do about it?”.
 
Seems totally bizarre to me: if Putin is so concerned about eastward NATO expansion, then why does he want Ukraine? If he takes Ukraine then he will have two NATO countries right on his border: Poland and Slovakia (not including the Kaliningrad enclave). His logic seems to be: I'm concerned about NATO expansion, so I'll expand my territory right up to the NATO borders...


Yes this is why I asked repeatedly about the validity of Russian security concerns. (As I said they seem to be longstanding)

But also there was internal conflict within Ukraine and the Russians cite armed hostilities between the Kiev government using their national military and the breakaway regions in the east of Ukraine.
 
If you're thinking of Nuland, I don't think she qualifies as a neo-con. Served under John Kerry and was Obama's spokesperson at the State Dept. She doesn't appear on who's who lists of neo-cons. The fact she's married to Robert Kagan doesn't mean she shares all his views.
 
Seems totally bizarre to me: if Putin is so concerned about eastward NATO expansion, then why does he want Ukraine? If he takes Ukraine then he will have two NATO countries right on his border: Poland and Slovakia (not including the Kaliningrad enclave). His logic seems to be: I'm concerned about NATO expansion, so I'll expand my territory right up to the NATO borders...

Can someone who knows about the geography of the region, and NATO military capability, please deal with this point, which often comes up? Can he defend himself against NATO more easily if he has Ukraine, because he can block the route into Russia via the Great European Plain? Will NATO find it harder to attack Russia with missiles if he has Ukraine as a buffer?
 
Sorry I missed this point. You mean NATO having mutual agreement with a non member state ? (UKR)

Sure I accept that. I just simply gave my view that IMHO of course sending arms into Ukraine is gonna amplify the bloodshed. Just my view, hope I’m wrong.
There is a whole body of international law on concepts of just war and supplies to beligerents.

By your childlike "logic" helping the French Resistance during WW2 would also be viewed as interference and should be rejected on both moral and humanitarian grounds.
 
Not sure how to take the above. I just know that I don’t like her much.

Yeah I think she is part of the US neo-con group. I read somewhere due to her family background she speaks Russian.
You should have more than "I don't like her," since she is central "pin" in your argument that the West is responsible for war by "meddling."
 
Can someone who knows about the geography of the region, and NATO military capability, please deal with this point, which often comes up? Can he defend himself against NATO more easily if he has Ukraine, because the route into Russia via the Great European Plain will be cut off? Will NATO find it harder to attack Russia with missiles if he has Ukraine?
There are two paradoxes:
- by launching all-out war on what he calls "Little Russians", he has ensured the long term enmity of the vast majority of the Ukrainian people, and consolidated the national identity of the country
- if he annexes Ukraine, he actually moves his border closer to NATO territory.

I'm not a military expert, but I would have thought that NATO has the capacity to vitrify most of the USSR, sorry Russia several times over. The location of the border is not material in this respect.
 
There is a whole body of international law on concepts of just war and supplies to beligerents.

By your childlike "logic" helping the French Resistance during WW2 would also be viewed as interference and should be rejected on both moral and humanitarian grounds.

i simply stated my view. I sincerely hope I’m wrong
 
There are two paradoxes:
- by launching all-out war on what he calls "Little Russians", he has ensured the long term enmity of the majority of the Ukrainian people, and consolidated the national identity of the country
- if he annexes Ukraine, he actually moves his border closer to NATO territory.

Yes he's closer but it doesn't follow that the routes to attack Russia aren't easier to defend. I don't know, that's why I'm hoping that a geographer will answer. And controlling Ukraine means that no weapons targeted on Russia can be located there -- that extra distance from Russia may make it safer. Again I don't know, because I know nothing about weapons.

I'm sure he's pissed off a lot of Ukrainian people in the process.
 
Yes this is why I asked repeatedly about the validity of Russian security concerns. (As I said they seem to be longstanding)

But also there was internal conflict within Ukraine and the Russians cite armed hostilities between the Kiev government using their national military and the breakaway regions in the east of Ukraine.
Armed hostilities in Donbas is a Russian operatives' engineered astroturf "uprising" that they started right after invasion of Crimea in 2014, to deflect world attention.

Led by Russian citizens of military background and with Russian weapons and Russian artillery over the border, they were successful in "starting up the flywheel of war" (their leader, Girkin, recently proudly stated that recently), but in only two locations. Everywhere else - and they tried in multiple places - "uprisings" failed. The main idea was to create a "New Russia" by essentially "fake-referendering" those regions to main Russia.

The main achievements of these Russia-looted regions are a complete impoverishing of the remaining population and shooting down an Dutch airliner and killing over 200 passengers and crew.

Please try to educate yourself
 
My view might be very simple minded but I think the US might take umbrage if hypothetically speaking a foreign power was heavily involved in supporting an uprising and hand picking the leaders of neighbouring country like Canada or Mexico.

I wouldn't say simple minded I would say heavily negatively biased. How is the talk between two Americans evidence of "heavily" involved, much less "hand-picking?" I think you exaggerate our influence. For evidence, I note that Noland's preferred candidate did not become President.

Yes for sure I do have a very heavy negative bias. That I admit for sure. The reason for my bias is that when I look at the recent US, US+coalition or US/NATO interventions/wars in various countries. Often the after picture is worse than the before picture. Libya comes to mind.

I’ll leave it there thanks for the input (sincerely)
 
Seems totally bizarre to me: if Putin is so concerned about eastward NATO expansion, then why does he want Ukraine? If he takes Ukraine then he will have two NATO countries right on his border: Poland and Slovakia (not including the Kaliningrad enclave). His logic seems to be: I'm concerned about NATO expansion, so I'll expand my territory right up to the NATO borders...

Norway has a land border with Russia and has been in NATO since the formation of the organisation.

Just tuppence worth from George
 
While I surmised that was your intent...
Blanket statement is still blanket statement.
Still thinking you need to put some qualifiers on to narrow the scope.
Well the sceneario you posted, a person defending their home against murderous invaders, would allow self-defense under most justifiable homicide statutes. But taking the field against the same invaders is another matter. There is international law concerning rights of belligerents, that says you can kill enemy soldiers, but if they capture you they can't punish you for it, they have to treat you decently ( and vice/versa). It is a legitimate legal question whether a self-directed foreign volunteer enjoys similar belligerent rights. Your volunteer needs to be sworn into the Ukrainian military, then he's OK, as far as his status in the combat zone. Back in home country, they may have laws about such stuff....
 
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