Another UKIP thread so I shall provide an update, IMO.
I feel a backlash against the kippers. People are saying "well I'm not voting UKIP!" with very little prompting, and I'm not just talking a few people or one demographic. It feels like there's an expectation that everyone should be voting UKIP and people are increasingly questioning it.
How that will carry over through the election, I'm not sure - but I do feel they are a divisive and unknown quantity, and as a nation we do prefer the devil we know.