Context for those numbers here:
https://emilyoster.substack.com/p/covid-risks-for-small-children
I’m not sure it’s meaningful any more to talk about “allowing cases to run rampant”: running rampant is just what Omicron does, and no measures short of a Wuhan style lockdown are going to make much of a dent in the number of infections over the long haul. As regards children’s well-being there’s a fairly straightforward choice to be made between allowing them to get Omicron and shutting them up in their homes for the foreseeable. It’s not a great choice but it’s not really a difficult one either. Given that, it’s good to know that for children as well as adults Omicron seems to be a lot less severe than Delta.
I have been thinking in this direction for a few days now as the figures filter out. For example, ICU bed usage has gone down slightly across the UK whereas it went up a lot at the same time last year, again supporting the view and data that shows that Omicron is less severe.
We don't know, but the data suggests that Omicron is far more transmissible and this may mean that the ventilation approach that many of us has pushed may not be as effective we had hoped. Putting in the systems that we have discussed many times on here still makes (and has done so for the past 9 months now) sense though as it should, especially in combination with well fitting masks, reduce the transfer of Omicron and have other benefits once Covid is not a major concern anymore. Reducing the number of cases per day still matters, as it will reduce the number of hospital admissions and free up bed space to treat the massive backlog of other medical issues that people need help with.
The current situation still leaves the at risk categories (people with comorbidities, generally disadvantaged (disabled, elderly, in poverty) and un vaccinated) at much greater risk than before as they are just expected to get on with their lives. Is that reasonable and fair for schoolchildren, teachers, their parents and people who have to go to work?
Also we do not know what the long term effects of Covid on people that have had it are. Long Covid, hints of organ damage etc are still concerning.
I still think that we are not doing enough, but do accept that Omicron is too infectious to manage effectively, without significantly more effective measures in place, which is not going to happen.