What you are describing sounds like loop instability. The stability conditions for PLLs are quite complex, as the large signal and small signal regimes are very different, but ultimately have to do with phase shifts in the error loop. This doesn't sound exactly like a typical IC problem, but rather something to do with the loop time constants. Could there be an electrolytic or tantalum in the circuit that acts as the integrating capacitor? If its value had drifted, or ESR risen, then you might first have marginal stability (in small signal regime, but not large) and now no stability at all.
My (limited) experience with failed ICs is that they usually fail totally, rather than go slightly off.
Yes, I have designed (basic) PLL's...
It had occurred to me that it could be something on those lines but freezer spray and heat gun on the IC were bringing it in and out of fault so pretty good indication it's the IC! This is my present theory but read on...
I was thinking more in terms of a missing phase or two from the drive IC and the remaining one/s hugely overcompensating (trying to anyway), hence the motor giving a big jolt of torque, then platter slows before another working phase kicks in and repeats it thus giving a set flutter of a few Hz... call it extreme cogging! It is going on 20 years since I last looked at it and came to this conclusion so I am certainly planning on having another look and going into greater detail before doing anything else
I didn't have an ESR meter back then for a start!
It is certainly possible that heating/cooling of the IC were skewing its characteristics (higher or lower gain etc) such that it
just managed to achieve lock... however, IIRC it is just a motor drive IC and not part of the PLL ie loop filter, phase comparator etc...
It's completely stripped and has all sorts of junk piled on top of the resulting pile of parts at the moment after my cat pissed on it and I frantically stripped and washed it before the "alien blood" like properties of cat piss did any damage! This was about 5 years ago in itself!
I've known several IC's fail in a way that could be temporarily "fixed" with a squirt of freezer spray or the heat gun or have just gone intermittent so no they don't
always fail completely....
Whilst looking for a replacement IC on line I did stumble on something about repairing this generation of Technics TT's which use this chip set and one bloke was saying that in his experience it is VERY rare for one of the IC's that make up said chip set to fail and it almost always turns out to be something else... so a bit of hope there