Tony L
Administrator
I would imagine the failure rate is tiny i.e. a fraction of a fraction of a percent. If there really was a serious issue, then a company as big as Shimano would issue a recall and have implemented design changes. I would ride without concern, but with the caveat to visually check itonce in a while for any signs of problems.
I’ve been reading a lot, so can’t remember exactly where I read what, but the rate may be tiny given it is the default groupset on so many mid to upper-mid-level bikes, and by a substantial amount, but the actual numbers of fails are disturbingly high given it is a potentially life-threatening fail. There have apparently been over 600 in the US alone and several lawyers are fishing for business.
There is clearly a design flaw, as that thing should not come un-glued in *any* normal usage scenario, though it does seem to be hitting powerful all-weather cyclists the hardest. I’m the opposite extreme, I never go out if it looks like rain and I’m a spinner rather than a stamper, so I don’t even get out of the saddle going up steep hills. As such I’m likely at the lower end of risk, but even so something that expensive should just work and keep working pretty much indefinitely. If I could figure out a direct replacement (i.e. something that would fit the Shimano bottom bracket and work with the front mech) I’d be inclined to swap it out just for peace of mind. At the least I know that if I hear any clicking or it feels ‘odd’ it has likely failed so I’ll catch it before some would assuming it doesn’t just crack in two at the first sign. Not what one wants in allegedly high-end kit.